understanding the reason that sales took place. Examples of causal data are
newspaper advertising which indicates the extent of retailer advertising
support source of information for understanding the source of sales is
television advertising. Measuring the effects of television advertising is
relatively difficult owing to the dynamic effects such advertising has on
consumer behavior, however.
Once the data are collected, the analyst may choose to evaluate the
information by simply looking at the raw series together over time or
compute straightforward measures such as market share in order to arrive
at a qualitative assessment of market activity. Statistical models might be
estimated in order to address issues such as temporary price reduction,
effectiveness, the extent of cannibalization due to promotion activity, i.
e...the extent to which sales of one specific product decline as a result of
promoting another similar product produced by the same manufacturer, the
competitive effects of promotions, differences between markets,
competitive pricing points, long-term price elastic ties.
Forecasting is an activity likely to be undertaken by a business economist
working in a marketing research department. Conventionally, business
economists have been responsible for producing forecasts for the
macroeconomic environment or for activity within industry groups. More
recently, forecasting movements in mature product categories, in segments
within categories, and in brands has increased in importance.
Forecasting the success or failure or new product introductions is also
important. New product introductions require a considerable amount a
firms resources, and failure to read the market place correctly and early in
the development process can lead to costly errors. The development of a
new brand begins with the identification of new market opportunities.
Consumer survey research directed at identifying the market response to
the brand concept and elements of the marketing mix, e.g. , pricing, is
typically conducted. On the basis of the survey a firm may decide to
continue with the development plans for the brand, revise current plans in
response to the survey results, or cancel development plans completely.
Comparisons may also be made between attitudes toward the new concepts
and exiting products.
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